Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 4-11
Real Sociedad vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
ATM
8 - 1
RSO
87%
9%
4%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
SPO
0 - 0
RSO
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
RSO
3 - 2
SPO
66%
17%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
RSO
4 - 0
OSA
71%
16%
14%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
OSA
2 - 1
RSO
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
ATM
8 - 1
RSO
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1965 |
ATM
2 - 0
VCF
73%
16%
11%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1965 |
JUV
3 - 1
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
ATM
4 - 0
RMA
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |