Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
Real Sociedad vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 1
RSO
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
RSO
1 - 1
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 2
RSO
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
ATH
0 - 1
RSO
19%
21%
60%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SLA
0 - 1
RSO
42%
29%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
LOG
0 - 1
ATH
51%
27%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 0
SSC
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATH
67%
21%
11%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
ATH
0 - 1
RSO
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ATH
2 - 1
ARE
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |