Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-0
Real Sociedad vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
11%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
RSO
0 - 0
OVI
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 1
RSO
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
SPO
4 - 2
RSO
41%
29%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
RSO
1 - 0
ELC
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
RSO
2 - 1
OSA
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
PON
0 - 1
ARO
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 1
RSO
9%
19%
72%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
SAN
0 - 0
ARO
24%
31%
45%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
ARO
0 - 1
ASP
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
LAL
0 - 1
ARO
41%
30%
30%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |