Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ATH
4 - 1
RSO
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
RSG
0 - 2
RSO
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
RSO
2 - 0
RSG
87%
9%
5%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ESP
3 - 1
RSO
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 1
ALA
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
ALA
2 - 1
FCB
26%
23%
52%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
OSA
0 - 1
ALA
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ALA
3 - 1
OSA
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
SPO
3 - 0
ALA
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |