Real Sociedad U19 B vs Bergara KE Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
17º
2º
23
10º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 74 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 63 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 38 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 26 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 24 |
18º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
37.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ZAR
0 - 1
REA
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
DAN
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
REA
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
REA
4 - 0
EIB
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
REA
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bergara KE Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
IND
35%
22%
43%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
BER
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
BCF
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HER
4 - 1
BER
49%
23%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
CDB
44%
22%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |