Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
Real Sociedad B vs Calella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
RSO
2 - 0
VAD
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
GDE
1 - 3
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
CAL
1 - 0
RSO
57%
21%
21%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
RSO
4 - 1
PUL
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
EIB
0 - 0
RSO
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
CAL
3 - 1
PAI
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
RAC
0 - 0
CAL
36%
28%
36%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
CAL
1 - 0
RSO
57%
21%
21%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
CAL
3 - 1
LEV
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
TOR
4 - 2
CAL
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |