Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-3
Real Sociedad B vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
FRA
0 - 0
RSO
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1988 |
ARN
1 - 2
RSO
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
RSO
2 - 1
AND
73%
17%
9%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
RSO
4 - 0
TER
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
JUP
2 - 2
RSO
22%
28%
50%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
ARN
1 - 2
TER
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1988 |
ARN
1 - 2
RSO
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
MHN
0 - 1
ARN
48%
28%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
ARN
3 - 1
GIR
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
SER
1 - 0
ARN
38%
28%
35%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |