Real Cundinamarca vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
52.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
3 - 2
RSC
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RSC
2 - 1
BJC
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
RSC
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 2
RSC
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
RSC
0 - 0
QUI
23%
29%
48%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
COR
54%
22%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
BJC
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
FOR
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
QUI
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |