Real Cundinamarca vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
RSC
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
2 - 3
AME
26%
26%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
0 - 0
SFC
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
RSC
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
RSC
0 - 0
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
BOG
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |