Real Sport Clube vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 2
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FAM
2 - 0
REA
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
REA
61%
24%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
REA
5 - 1
BEN
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 0
REA
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
COV
1 - 1
NAC
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
BRA
67%
20%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
6 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
OLI
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |