Real Sport Clube vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
12º
11º
17
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 1
REA
18%
19%
63%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 0
REA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 3
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
UDL
20%
25%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ACA
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
VST
23%
24%
54%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
OLI
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |