Real Sport Clube vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
12º
11º
35
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
REA
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 0
REA
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
SCP
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
REA
30%
27%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
ORI
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
CDB
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
PER
0 - 3
BEL
13%
25%
62%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 3
SER
75%
18%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |