Real SC vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BOR
2 - 0
RSC
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 2
PEL
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
PEL
3 - 0
RSC
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
RSC
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
BOR
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOR
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PEL
1 - 3
GRE
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 2
NOV
41%
24%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
PEL
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |