Real Santander vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
REA
0 - 0
PER
27%
26%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 2
REA
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
REA
2 - 0
LLA
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
REA
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
REA
1 - 3
RSC
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 1
LEO
40%
27%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
QUI
4 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 2
UNI
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
CAR
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
AFC
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |