Real Santander vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
REA
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
PAT
5 - 0
REA
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 2
PER
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 3
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
SFC
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
UNI
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 4
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
4 - 2
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |