Real Santander vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
REA
3 - 1
CUC
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
PAS
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 1
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
REA
5 - 2
CHI
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
REA
4 - 0
PAT
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 2
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CEN
5 - 3
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
ACA
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 2
TFC
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |