Real Santander vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 0
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
REA
1 - 2
CUC
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
REA
3 - 0
BUC
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 1
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
REA
2 - 0
RIO
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
CAR
7 - 0
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
RSC
3 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
BUC
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |