Real Santander vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
REA
2 - 2
QUI
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
REA
3 - 1
LEO
30%
30%
41%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BUC
1 - 0
REA
67%
20%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
REA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
CUC
0 - 3
REA
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
RSC
3 - 3
LLA
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 0
AME
36%
28%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 1
LLA
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LLA
3 - 2
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 0
PAT
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |