Real Santander vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
REA
49%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
REA
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
REA
1 - 2
AGU
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
REA
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
6 - 1
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 0
FOR
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 4
RSC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |