Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 3-2
Real Santander vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 1
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
BOG
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
REA
2 - 0
TFC
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 3
REA
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SFE
3 - 1
CHI
67%
22%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
ONC
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 1
CHI
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
17%
24%
58%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |