Copa Colombia Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Real Santander vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 3
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
REA
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
AGU
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
BUC
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
HUI
0 - 1
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
HUI
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 3
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |