Real Santander vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
REA
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 0
REA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 0
CUC
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
ALI
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 1
BUC
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |