Real Santander vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
REA
0 - 2
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
RSC
0 - 1
REA
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
REA
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
REA
2 - 0
BOG
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CUC
1 - 1
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ENV
0 - 0
ALI
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
MIL
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BUC
2 - 0
ALI
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 5
NAC
34%
29%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |