Real Santander vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RSC
3 - 3
REA
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
REA
0 - 5
AME
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
BUC
1 - 1
REA
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 2
CUC
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
COR
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 0
ALI
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
CUC
0 - 0
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 0
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |