Real Santander vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
AFC
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
REA
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
BUC
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
REA
3 - 0
TFC
51%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
BOG
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
CUC
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
ALI
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |