Real Santander vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 1
REA
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
REA
3 - 2
ALI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
REA
2 - 1
AFC
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
PAT
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
BUC
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
PAS
3 - 0
ALI
71%
20%
9%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALI
4 - 3
CEN
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
REA
3 - 2
ALI
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TFC
4 - 1
ALI
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
BUC
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |