Real Santa Cruz vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
15º
16º
15º
28
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 45 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 39 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 35 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 34 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 34 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 30 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 2
AUR
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAC
0 - 1
OPE
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
UDV
1 - 1
SAC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 3
DGV
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 0
SAC
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STR
5 - 0
IND
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
STR
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
AUR
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DGV
5 - 2
STR
20%
25%
55%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
UDV
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |