Real Santa Cruz vs Royal Pari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
SAC
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 2
BOL
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 3
STR
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
REA
4 - 0
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ROY
0 - 2
STR
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 1
ROY
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
ROY
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
ROY
3 - 1
BLO
53%
23%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
ROY
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |