Real Santa Cruz vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
REA
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SAC
2 - 2
AUR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 2
STR
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAC
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAC
2 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
OPE
3 - 0
ROY
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 2
BLO
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
ROY
2 - 3
OPE
47%
24%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 0
UNI
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CMV
2 - 1
OPE
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |