Real Santa Cruz vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
15º
16º
16º
46
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
JWI
2 - 0
SAC
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 0
ABB
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DRT
2 - 1
SAC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAC
1 - 1
ROY
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 1
REA
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
STR
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UDV
0 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 3
AUR
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
OPE
2 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
ROY
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |