Real Santa Cruz vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
5 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
DRT
2 - 1
SAC
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
SAC
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SAC
4 - 1
RPO
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
ROY
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
IND
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
IND
1 - 2
REA
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DRT
0 - 2
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
IND
2 - 0
CMV
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |