Real Santa Cruz vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
SAC
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SAC
4 - 1
RPO
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 0
BLO
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAC
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ROY
3 - 2
SAC
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
DRT
1 - 2
AUR
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 0
IND
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOL
18%
22%
61%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BLO
1 - 0
AUR
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |