Real San Joaquín vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
13º
12º
33
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
JOA
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
JOA
2 - 2
UNI
9%
16%
74%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
JOA
0 - 0
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
JOA
3 - 3
CDP
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
OVA
4 - 0
JOA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GVE
1 - 3
CUR
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 0
GVE
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GVE
2 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
GVE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FVC
1 - 1
GVE
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |