Real San Joaquín vs Linares Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
10º
9º
13
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 43 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 24 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
14º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GVE
1 - 1
JOA
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
JOA
2 - 0
GVE
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
JOA
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 1
LAU
36%
24%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 1
JOA
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Linares Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DLI
1 - 1
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
REN
1 - 2
DLI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DLI
2 - 3
IBE
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DLI
1 - 0
CDP
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
DLI
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |