Real San Joaquín vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
10º
9º
22
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 43 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 24 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
14º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
JOA
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 0
LAU
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 0
JOA
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
JOA
2 - 1
DLI
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GVE
1 - 1
JOA
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
DLI
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CON
3 - 1
CDS
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
CON
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
CDP
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |