Real San Joaquín vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAU
1 - 0
JOA
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
JOA
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
JOA
2 - 1
GVE
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 0
JOA
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
JOA
1 - 2
ROD
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
IBE
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
TRA
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CAU
3 - 0
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 2
CON
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
LAU
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |