Real San Joaquín vs Deportes Rengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
10º
9º
22
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 43 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 24 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
14º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FVC
0 - 0
JOA
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 1
CDM
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
JOA
0 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
JOA
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 0
LAU
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Rengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
REN
1 - 2
CDS
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 3
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REN
2 - 3
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 2
REN
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
GVE
35%
27%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |