Real San Joaquín vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
9º
47
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FVC
0 - 0
JOA
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 0
IBE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
REN
2 - 0
JOA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JOA
1 - 0
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DLI
0 - 0
JOA
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 1
SAU
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 2
CDM
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 2
CDM
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
TRA
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |