Racing U19 vs Real Oviedo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
9º
3º
8
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 73 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 73 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 58 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 41 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 38 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 37 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 32 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 27 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 25 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 23 |
16º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2.5% | 1.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
68% | 63% |
|
Possible next round
|
15.5% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
14% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
REA
1 - 3
REA
15%
21%
65%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
REA
69%
17%
15%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
COV
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAD
2 - 2
REA
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REA
6 - 1
ALA
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OVI
2 - 2
CEL
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
COV
0 - 5
OVI
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OVI
2 - 0
CHO
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OVI
0 - 0
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 1
OVI
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |