Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-4
Real Potosí vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
BLO
2 - 1
RPO
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 1
RPO
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
JWI
1 - 0
RPO
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
RPO
2 - 0
OPE
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 3
RPO
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 2
DAN
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 1
RPO
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 0
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
JUN
1 - 3
JUV
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |