Real Potosí vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
8 - 0
RPO
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 2
ROY
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
OPE
7 - 2
RPO
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
RPO
64%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
RPO
3 - 2
DES
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AUR
5 - 0
DES
43%
26%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
STR
0 - 1
AUR
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
AUR
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
BLO
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |