Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LAF
1 - 1
RPI
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
RPI
3 - 3
CCO
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
RPI
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
RPI
2 - 2
MID
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
DOC
2 - 0
RPI
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
SMA
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LUJ
3 - 0
MER
48%
26%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
LAF
40%
24%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CCO
0 - 0
MER
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MER
1 - 0
BER
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |