Real Pilar vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MUÑ
3 - 2
RPI
12%
22%
66%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
RPI
2 - 2
PUE
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DPA
0 - 1
RPI
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
RPI
0 - 0
YUP
81%
14%
6%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
CBA
0 - 4
RPI
34%
26%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 0
ARR
29%
29%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 1
ARM
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 1
JUU
38%
29%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
VIC
4 - 1
ARM
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 2
LUG
50%
27%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |