Real Pharma vs VAST Mykolaiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
10º
6º
14
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 35 |
3º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
6º
|
86% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
61% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 9 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 6 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
RPH
1 - 0
FCZ
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
0 - 4
RPH
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
RPH
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
RPH
2 - 1
FKC
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
FRK
0 - 7
RPH
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
VAST Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
MET
2 - 2
VAM
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
VAM
1 - 2
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
VAM
5 - 1
FRK
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
FKC
5 - 1
VAM
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VAM
0 - 3
NYV
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |