Real Pharma vs Karpaty II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
14º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RPH
1 - 1
UCS
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
RPH
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 1
FKK
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
RPH
13%
17%
70%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RPH
0 - 2
FKT
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Karpaty II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
KAR
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KAR
2 - 1
SST
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
KAR
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
RUT
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
KAR
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |