Real Pharma vs PFK Zvyagel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
10º
6º
29
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 35 |
3º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
6º
|
86% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
61% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 9 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 6 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
0 - 4
RPH
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 3
RPH
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
RPH
2 - 1
FKC
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
FRK
0 - 7
RPH
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RPH
2 - 1
MET
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
PFK Zvyagel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
FCZ
1 - 1
FKC
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FRK
0 - 3
FCZ
12%
20%
68%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
FCZ
3 - 2
MET
82%
13%
6%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NYV
3 - 2
FCZ
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCZ
0 - 1
FNB
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |