Real Pharma vs Lokomotiv Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+3029%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
14º
28
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Pharma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
3 - 0
RPH
10%
14%
76%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VAM
0 - 1
RPH
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RPH
2 - 0
FKK
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RPH
0 - 3
CHA
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FKC
4 - 0
RPH
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 0
UCS
52%
21%
27%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCD
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | +1 |