Real Oviedo vs UD Orensana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
GIM
2 - 1
OVI
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
OVI
4 - 1
GIR
72%
15%
12%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SPO
3 - 0
OVI
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
OVI
3 - 2
BAR
72%
16%
13%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
NUM
3 - 4
OVI
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ORE
2 - 1
LOG
59%
20%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
OSA
2 - 0
ORE
71%
16%
14%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
ORE
2 - 0
GIM
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ZAR
4 - 0
ORE
74%
15%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
ORE
2 - 1
GIM
47%
21%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |