Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-1
Real Oviedo vs Talavera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SLA
0 - 0
OVI
57%
26%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
OVI
4 - 1
ELC
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1976 |
TAL
0 - 1
OVI
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
SPO
3 - 1
OVI
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
OVI
2 - 0
ZAR
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
LON
2 - 1
TAL
37%
29%
34%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
TAL
1 - 0
CFP
65%
24%
11%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1976 |
TAL
0 - 1
OVI
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
ZAM
1 - 0
TAL
34%
32%
34%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1976 |
TAL
1 - 0
GIM
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |