Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-4
Real Oviedo vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.2%
8.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 2
OVI
39%
21%
40%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
OVI
4 - 1
BET
78%
12%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
ZAR
1 - 3
OVI
32%
21%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
OVI
1 - 1
DEP
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
FCB
6 - 2
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 2
OVI
39%
21%
40%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ESP
2 - 1
SPO
74%
14%
12%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
SAB
5 - 2
SPO
51%
21%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 0
SDC
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
JFC
2 - 0
SPO
38%
22%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |